ETHERNIA
Intervention intelligence

The evidence database.

A clear view of what has been tested, what has changed, and what remains a hypothesis.

19 records

Swipe the table to compare all five evidence dimensions.

Longevity claims and their separate evidence dimensions
Intervention / claimImpact domainHumanAnimalMechanismSafetyLongevity
Rapamycin: the strongest mouse story is still a human question.

Extending human lifespan

Frontier
Possible ageing modificationMixed trialsLifespan demonstratedWell characterisedKnown risksNo human proof
Senolytics: clearing damaged cells, testing a powerful idea.

Systemic human rejuvenation

Frontier
Potential rejuvenationEarly and mixedSurvival signalsPlausible, complexIncompleteNo human proof
NAD precursors: raising a molecule is the beginning of the question.

Extending human lifespan with NR or NMN

Frontier
Possible ageing modificationTarget engagementContext-dependentBiologically groundedShort-term dataNo human proof
Caloric restriction: a lifespan experiment with a human translation problem.

Changing selected human ageing biomarkers

Promising
Possible ageing modificationRandomized dataSurvival demonstratedMultiple pathwaysContext-sensitiveHuman gap
Biological-age clocks: useful instruments, unfinished verdicts.

Research measurement and risk prediction

Promising
Measurement / predictionPredictive evidenceNot requiredModel-dependentInterpretation riskSurrogate gap
Partial reprogramming: can cells regain function without losing identity?

Targeted tissue rejuvenation in humans

Frontier
Potential rejuvenationEarly clinical testingFunctional signalsActive investigationUnresolvedNo human proof
Physical capacity: the benchmark every longevity intervention should face.

Preserving mobility in selected older adults

Established
Established healthspan impactFunctional benefitNot the main basisMulti-systemAdaptation requiredMortality association
Metformin: a diabetes drug facing a much harder question.

Delaying multiple age-related outcomes in people without diabetes

Frontier
Possible ageing modificationSmall mechanistic trialsDose-dependent survivalMultiple pathwaysKnown clinical risksNo human lifespan proof
Acarbose: a strong mouse result meets a negative human endpoint.

Extending lifespan through altered carbohydrate handling

Frontier
Possible ageing modificationLarge trial, mixed endpointsSurvival demonstratedGut carbohydrate handlingTolerability constraintsNo human lifespan proof
GLP-1 therapies: a clinical benefit is not the same as age reversal.

Reducing major cardiovascular events with semaglutide in SELECT-like patients

Established
Established healthspan impactClinical events reducedNot the basis of this claimMultiple effectsKnown adverse effectsMaximum lifespan untested
Creatine: measure the extra capacity, not the marketing.

Adding lean tissue and strength during resistance training in older adults

Promising
OptimizationTrial synthesisNot needed for this claimEnergy bufferingContext-dependentNo lifespan proof
Taurine: the intervention and the biomarker are different hypotheses.

Extending human lifespan through taurine supplementation

Frontier
Possible ageing modificationNo lifespan intervention proofSurvival signalSeveral proposed pathwaysLong horizon unresolvedNo human proof
Spermidine: autophagy is a rationale, not a memory result.

Improving human ageing outcomes through spermidine supplementation

Frontier
Possible ageing modificationPrimary result negativeSurvival and cardiac signalsAutophagy-linkedLimited long-term dataNo human lifespan proof
Urolithin A: immune-cell changes are a signal worth testing.

Modifying selected immune-cell and metabolic measures in middle-aged adults

Promising
Possible ageing modificationShort randomized signalMechanistic supportMitophagy-linkedShort-term toleranceNo survival evidence
Fasting: timing, energy intake and ageing are separate variables.

Achieving weight loss with a structured intermittent-restriction programme

Promising
OptimizationWeight-loss trialRestriction experimentsMultiple candidate pathwaysPopulation-sensitiveNo human lifespan proof
Resistance training: preserving a reserve you can actually use.

Improving strength and selected physical functions in older adults

Established
Established healthspan impactRandomized functional evidenceNot the main basisAdaptive loadingProgramme-dependentLifespan ceiling untested
Sleep regularity: a mortality predictor is not yet a longevity treatment.

Using sleep regularity as a research marker of mortality risk

Promising
Measurement / predictionObservational predictionNot the claim assessedCircadian organisationMeasurement limitsNo causal lifespan estimate
Whole-body rejuvenation to 150+

Radical human lifespan extension

Speculative
Potential radical lifespan extensionNot demonstratedNo integrated proofHypothesisUnresolvedNo human proof
Clock years equal extra years alive

Converting a clock change into added lifespan

Unsupported
Measurement / predictionSurrogate unvalidatedNot transferableNot sufficientMisinterpretation riskNot established
How to read the database

Five labels. Always tied to a claim.

Established — Reliable evidence for the stated outcome

Supported by credible human evidence for a defined population and endpoint. This does not automatically establish lifespan extension or apply to every person.

Promising — A signal that deserves replication

Human findings suggest a relevant benefit, but replication, clinical importance or long-term outcomes remain uncertain.

Frontier — A biological case ahead of clinical proof

A plausible mechanism or animal result with limited, early or mixed human data. Experimental does not mean effective.

Speculative — An open hypothesis

The proposed outcome remains beyond direct evidence. A research direction is not a forecast or a promised treatment.

Unsupported — The claim outruns the data

Available findings do not justify this specific inference. The label does not prove that every related mechanism or intervention is ineffective.

Safety describes the evidence available, not a declaration that an intervention is safe. Classifications are editorial judgments, not treatment rankings. Read the method.

Two independent questions

How certain? How consequential?

Evidence describes what has been shown. Impact describes the kind of outcome being pursued. Neither predicts extra years.

Established healthspan impact

Human evidence supports a meaningful clinical or functional outcome in a defined population. It does not imply a change in maximum lifespan.

Optimization

A narrower performance, risk-management or intermediate outcome. Useful gains can matter without implying repair of ageing.

Possible ageing modification

The research hypothesis targets ageing-related processes. Potential breadth is a question, not an estimate of benefit.

Potential rejuvenation

The intended goal is restoration of tissue or cellular function. This describes an ambition whose clinical evidence must be assessed separately.

Potential radical lifespan extension

A highly uncertain goal requiring durable, coordinated control of multiple causes of decline. No magnitude or probability is implied.

Measurement / prediction

An instrument for observing biology or predicting risk. A measurement is not itself an intervention.

Evidence × intended impact

A map of different ambitions

Illustrative claim placements—not rankings, probabilities or a treatment comparison.

ClaimEvidence strengthImpact domainWhat remains outside the claim
Semaglutide / SELECTEstablishedEstablished healthspan impactSystemic age reversal
Creatine + trainingPromisingOptimizationHuman lifespan extension
Rapamycin / lifespanFrontierPossible ageing modificationHuman survival benefit
Partial reprogrammingFrontierPotential rejuvenationWhole-body repair
Coordinated systemic repairSpeculativePotential radical lifespan extensionA demonstrated human route